Thursday, November 13, 2003

Latest from Gallup

For those thinking Dean has somehow wrapped up the Dem nomination before a single vote has been cast, the latest numbers from Gallup make clear this race is far from over.

Howard Dean Still an Unknown Quantity to Many Americans
No front-runner among Democrats for their party's nomination


The lack of significant upward movement in the name identification of Dean is perhaps the most surprising finding here. He has been widely considered -- by pundits, columnists, and professional political observers -- to be the front-runner in the race, and he has certainly received a good proportion of the news coverage about the Democratic candidates. Still, as can be seen, only 46% of members of his own party say they know enough about Dean to give an opinion either way, slightly less than his name identification among all Americans.

And in a head-to-head with Bush, Clark still does best:

Bush 50
Wesley Clark 47

Bush 53
Howard Dean 44

Bush 52
Dick Gephardt 46

Bush 52
John Kerry 46

Bush 52
Joe Lieberman 46

Clark does best of the five leading Democrats; Bush beats Clark by only three percentage points among registered voters nationwide. Dean does the worst; Bush beats him by nine percentage points.

We are a long way from the finish line, folks. Support the candidate of your choice, and work for his or her election.

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